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A Monte Carlo put

Expected valueEasy

A put with strike pays the excess of the strike over the final price, or nothing if there is none. A simulation gives final prices: , , , , . What is the Monte Carlo estimate of its expected payoff? Answer with a number.

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A whole number, a decimal, a fraction like 3/8 or a percent.

Hint

Find the payoff on each path, then average all of them, zeros included.

Solution
  1. The payoffs are , , , , , which sum to .
  2. The estimate is , so the answer is .

Answer: