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Letters in matching envelopes

ProbabilityEasy

A clerk puts different letters into addressed envelopes, one letter per envelope, with all assignments equally likely. What is the expected number of letters that land in their own correct envelope?

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A whole number, a decimal, a fraction like 3/8 or a percent.

Hint

Write the count as a sum of indicators and use linearity of expectation.

Solution
  1. Let each letter have an indicator equal to if it lands in its own envelope and otherwise.
  2. By symmetry each letter is in its own envelope with probability .
  3. By linearity the expected count is .
  4. The answer is .

Answer: